Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 1.099059 1.333244 1.631120 2.048889 2.639190 3.477200 4.827779
2025-03-23 0.807449 1.074970 1.468944 2.133487 3.331948 5.691706 11.875028
2025-03-30 0.644421 0.907812 1.333462 2.149387 3.929377 8.673618 31.483937
2025-04-06 0.534187 0.780700 1.204627 2.094677 4.347084 12.257886 97.825242
2025-04-13 0.460423 0.692095 1.110336 2.056341 4.785280 17.501342 641.104319
2025-04-20 0.426841 0.662968 1.114571 2.235168 6.093124 34.741481 NaN
2025-04-27 0.393593 0.626911 1.093809 2.344014 7.390482 72.299904 NaN
2025-05-04 0.358621 0.581086 1.040422 2.339377 8.269137 143.252657 NaN
2025-05-11 0.324848 0.532321 0.969692 2.253324 8.656130 261.184438 NaN
2025-05-18 0.304268 0.506499 0.945495 2.304989 10.075147 1170.747974 NaN
2025-05-25 0.289601 0.490354 0.940360 2.421192 12.422403 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 0.271570 0.464837 0.907118 2.422268 13.953223 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 0.250799 0.431805 0.850710 2.318042 14.288112 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 0.240672 0.420407 0.848184 2.433849 18.065812 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 0.228291 0.402660 0.825598 2.456122 21.012577 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 0.214499 0.380388 0.787066 2.390544 22.305848 NaN NaN
2025-07-06 0.202722 0.361522 0.755157 2.344361 24.083556 NaN NaN
2025-07-13 0.199188 0.360821 0.774172 2.561010 35.892853 NaN NaN
2025-07-20 0.193465 0.354457 0.775706 2.693617 49.759322 NaN NaN
2025-07-27 0.185105 0.341135 0.754295 2.687958 58.559942 NaN NaN
2025-08-03 0.175401 0.323879 0.718599 2.583098 59.669761 NaN NaN
2025-08-10 0.169828 0.316003 0.710753 2.646013 78.895234 NaN NaN
2025-08-17 0.166019 0.312005 0.714426 2.787977 124.351594 NaN NaN